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Weekly Recap | January 20, 2026

Weekly Recap | January 20, 2026

January 20, 2026
Weekly Recap

January 12-16, 2026

S&P 500 Backpedals from Record High

Broad Market Dips even as Breadth Improves
All three major U.S. equity average posted fractional losses last week with the S&P 500 stepping back approximately 0.5% from its third record high of the new year set on Monday, January 12. Market breadth was however positive with the equal-weighted S&P 500 outperforming its official cap-weighted index by over 1%. Investor sentiment weakened primarily surrounding rising geopolitical tensions with Iran and Venezuela. Cyclicals and small cap stocks outperformed.

For the Week…
The S&P 500 slipped 0.36% after advancing 1.58% the week prior. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite also fractionally backpedaled last week, falling 0.28% and 0.66%, respectively. The small cap focused Russell 2000 performed best, gaining 2.05% last week which extended its year-to-date gain to 7.92%.   

Industrial Production Surprises Higher
U.S. industrial production rose 0.4% in December, topping the +0.1% consensus forecast and matched November’s upwardly revised increase (+0.4% from +0.2% originally reported). Industrial production advanced at an annualized 2.0% pace from a year ago.

Weekly Sector Insights
Five of the eleven S&P 500 sectors registered losses last week, with Financials (-2.33%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.99%) and Communication Services (-1.44%) falling the most. Defensive sectors advanced, led by Real Estate (+4.10%) and Consumer Staples (+3.69%), followed by Industrials (+3.03%). In year-to-date (YTD) performance, Industrials (+7.60%), Materials (+7.27%) and Energy (+6.81%) moved to the top of the 2026 leaderboard. Last year’s biggest annual sector gainer Communication Services (+0.52%) is now up the least this year while Technology (-0.55%) and Financials (-0.61%) turned negative in early YTD performance.

Treasury Yields Rise
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes ended the week at 4.226%, up 0.06% for the week. Yields rise as prices fall. The U.S. Dollar Index strengthened 0.2% for a third weekly gain, while gold futures advanced 2.55% to end the week at $4,595.40 per troy ounce. U.S. WTI crude oil futures rose 0.49%, ending Friday at $59.34 per barrel.

The Latest from @CeteraIM

HY Bond Spreads Narrow

Jobless Claims Decline Below 200K 

Retail Sales Ramp Higher

Economic Calendar

Monday, January 19
Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. Markets Closed. 

Tuesday, January 20
No Major Releases. 

Wednesday January 21
Mortgage Applications, Construction Spending (Oct delayed), Pending Home Sales. 

Thursday, January 22
Jobless Claims, Q3 GDP, Personal Income/Spending (Nov delayed), PCE Prices (Nov delayed).

Friday, January 23
Consumer Sentiment, S&P flash U.S. Manufacturing & Services PMIs.

Existing home sales increased 5.1% in December to an annualized rate of 4.35 million, the strongest pace since March 2023. Easing mortgage rates and stabilizing home prices have marginally improved affordability, helping to elevate home buying activity.

This report is created by Cetera Investment Management LLC. For more insights and information from the team, follow @CeteraIM on X.

About Cetera® Investment Management

Cetera Investment Management LLC (CIM) is a Securities and Exchange Commission registered investment adviser owned by Cetera Financial Group® (CFG). CIM provides market perspectives, portfolio guidance, model management, and other investment advice to its affiliated broker-dealers and registered investment advisers.

About Cetera Financial Group

“Cetera Financial Group” (CFG) refers to the network of independent retail firms encompassing, among others, those that are members FINRA/SIPC; Cetera Advisors LLC, Cetera Wealth Services, LLC (f/k/a Cetera Advisor Networks), Cetera Investment Services LLC (marketed as Cetera Financial Institutions or Cetera Investors), and Cetera Financial Specialists LLC. Those that are Securities and Exchange Commission registered investment advisers; Cetera Investment Management LLC and Cetera Investment Advisers LLC, .CFG is located at 655 W. Broadway, 11th Floor, San Diego, CA 92101.

Avantax Planning PartnersSM is an SEC registered investment adviser within the Aretec Group, Inc. (dba Cetera Holdings). All of the referenced entities are under common ownership

Disclosures

Advisory services may only be offered by investment adviser representatives in connection with an appropriate Advisory Services Agreement and disclosure brochure.

The material contained in this document was authored by and is the property of CIM. CIM provides investment management and advisory services to a number of programs sponsored by affiliated and non-affiliated registered investment advisers. Your registered representative and/or investment adviser representative is not registered with CIM and did not take part in the creation of this material. They may not be able to offer CIM portfolio management services.

Nothing in this presentation should be construed as offering or disseminating specific advice to any individual without the benefit of direct and specific consultation with a

financial professional. Information contained herein shall not constitute an offer or a solicitation of any services. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

For more information about CIM, please reference the CIM Form ADV 2A and the applicable ADV 2A for the registered investment adviser your financial professional is registered with. Please consult with your financial professional for their specific firm registrations and available program offerings.

No independent analysis has been performed and the material should not be construed as investment advice. Investment decisions should not be based on this material since the information contained here is a singular update, and prudent investment decisions require the analysis of a much broader collection of facts and context. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The opinions expressed are as of the date published and may change without notice. Any forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision.

All economic and performance information is historical and not indicative of future results. The market indices discussed are not actively managed. Investors cannot directly invest in unmanaged indices. Please consult your financial professional for more information.

Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability, and differences in accounting standards. A diversified portfolio does not assure a profit or protect against loss.

Glossary

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. 

The S&P 500 is an index of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry grouping (among other factors) designed to be a leading indicator of U.S. equities and is meant to reflect the risk/return characteristics of the large cap universe.

The NASDAQ Composite Index includes all domestic and international based common type stocks listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a broad based index.

The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership.

The Russell 3000 Index measures the performance of the largest 3,000 U.S. companies representing approximately 98% of the investable U.S. equity market.

The Russell Midcap Index measures the performance of the mid-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 1000 Index. It includes approximately 800 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. 

The Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index, which was originally called the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index, is a broad based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government–related and corporate debt securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate and hybrid ARM pass-throughs), ABS and CMBS (agency and non-agency) debt securities that are rated at least Baa3 by Moody’s and BBB- by S&P. Taxable municipals, including Build America bonds and a small amount of foreign bonds traded in U.S. markets are also included. Eligible bonds must have at least one year until final maturity, but in practice the index holdings have a fluctuating average life of around 8.25 years.

The Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield Index measures the USD-denominated, non-investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. Securities are classified as high yield if the middle rating of Moody's, Fitch, and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or below, excluding emerging market debt. Payment-in-kind and bonds with predetermined step-up coupon provisions are also included. Eligible securities must have at least one year until final maturity, but in practice the index holdings has a fluctuating average life of around 6.3 years. 

The Bloomberg US Municipal Bond Index covers the USD-denominated long-term tax exempt bond market. The index has four main sectors: state and local general obligation bonds, revenue bonds, insured bonds, and prerefunded bonds. Eligible securities must be rated investment grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher) by Moody’s and S&P and have at least one year until final maturity.

The MSCI EAFE Index is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets (Europe, Australasia, Far East) excluding the U.S. and Canada. The Index is market-capitalization weighted.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is designed to measure equity market performance in global emerging markets. It is a float-adjusted market capitalization index.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a broadly diversified index that measures 22 exchange-traded futures on physical commodities in five groups (energy, agriculture, industrial metals, precious metals, and livestock), which are weighted to account for economic significance and market liquidity. No single commodity can comprise less than 2% or more than 15% of the index; and no group can represent more than 33% of the index.

 The S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index is a sub-index of the S&P GSCI, provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark for investment performance in the crude oil market.

 The S&P GSCI Gold Index, a sub-index of the S&P GSCI, provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark tracking the COMEX gold futures market.

The U.S. Dollar Index is a weighted geometric mean that provides a value measure of the United States dollar relative to a basket of major foreign currencies. The index, often carrying a USDX or DXY moniker, started in March 1973, beginning with a value of the U.S. Dollar Index at 100.000.